you must go to the casinoQuote:
Originally Posted by raiQi
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you must go to the casinoQuote:
Originally Posted by raiQi
With a proper system and an un-rigged casino, it is possible to profit off casinos. I used to profit 2kk/3kk a day from dice casinos if I had the time to sit and play. It's simple. Bet minimum on opposite of what is showing. If low is showing, bet High. This will make sure you are already beating the odds. If low was the last roll then rolling low again is already down to a 25% chance (50%h 50%l from last roll. Now 50% of the 50% from previous roll is 25% to roll same thing twice in a row.).
Ok so the dicer did roll the same thing again, 2 lows in a row. NP. Just double your bet and bet the same thing again (H). Odds of rolling same thing 3 times in a row is even lower. If he does, just repeat again, always making sure your current bet will cover all previous bets and that you are always betting on the same until you do win. This will ensure that when you do win you will always be profiting.
Only reason dicers are able to exist is people go in betting without thinking. If you are just randomly choosing h/l, the dicer will have the advantage because he is paying out only 90% in most cases, leaving 10% profit (assuming everything goes 50/50, wins/losses).
I have no problem telling people this now as I will no longer use casinos without the actual dice. Its too easy to make a rigged script when just using a random number generator as your dice. The scripter can put in their code if my losses are any more than 1/2 my wins then if player says high, roll a random 1-3 number.
Regards,
O4T
http://lmgtfy.com/?q=gamblers+fallacy#Quote:
Originally Posted by only4tibia
Lol? Take a dice and try to roll high 10 times in a row (its probably about 10 tries before you reach dicers max bet at which point you will risk not profiting). Try this 1000 times and tell me how often you succeed to roll high 10 times in a row. I'm willing to bet its going to be a very low %. Probably not even 1%. Let me know, ok?Quote:
Originally Posted by sausting
Yes, each roll is 50% chance high or low, but chances of repeating are also 50% between each roll.
I told you how to win (with a non rigged dicer). If you don't believe this then too bad for you.
Thanks,
O4T
Did you even read the search results?Quote:
Originally Posted by only4tibia
" such as the classic gambler’s fallacy that a run of “heads” means that a “tails” is now more likely, when in fact the 50:50 odds of “heads” or “tails” have not changed."
I'm not quite following what you are trying to say, sorry.Quote:
Originally Posted by sausting
Chances of rolling heads or tails will always remain 50% for that roll, but the chance of it happening 10 times in a row is unlikely.
Like I said before, when I did have time to sit and play the dice casinos for a while, I would profit 2kk-3kk / day. I have never wasted using the method I explained.
"A study has identified a region of the brain that appears to play a critical role in supporting the distorted thinking which makes people more likely to gamble because they mistakenly think they have a better-than-average chance of winning."Quote:
Originally Posted by only4tibia
i used underlines for you
But, I'm not mistaken on my better-than-average chance of winning. I do have a better than average chance of winning. As I said, I have never wasted using the explained method.Quote:
Originally Posted by sausting
What he's trying to say is that each roll does not effect the previous or next roll.Quote:
Originally Posted by only4tibia
The fallacy here is believing that the next roll will be different than the previous roll when in reality it has no bearing on what's to come. Now if a load of highs have been rolled then the chance of the next roll being a high or low is the same, but overall if we were to do a hundred rolls then it may appear to be more likely to have a low after a high streak but it's still purely random.
By doing a system of betting double after an incorrect high/low and opposite of what was previously rolled you are simply just picking one and committing to it, if it's wrong again and you commit to it again and double eventually you can win profit back, there can rare cases though where you can lose all your money doubling your bets and losing 5/6 times in a row, this is why some casinos chose to have low limits such as 500k.
The playing again after a loss with over a double of the lost value technique does work, but you have to be patient and to not try to get greedy, it is an easy way to make quite a bit of money if you have the time and the initial investment capital.
@sausting @only4tibia
There is only 1 way to clear this up! Mano y mano!
Find an OTserver or something, play vs eachother, sausting will be the house. Record if possible :)